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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,611.32–7,620.9 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 7.9% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 42% ±18 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 66 | 23% ±6 | 42% ±18 | 60% ±32 | 81% ±39 | 2.0d | 0.49% | 0.22% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 7,565.36 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 12.8% | 16h | 4.9d ago · 46× | 78% ±22 | 26% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 58% ±11 | 78% ±22 | 90% ±27 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.30% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,555.78–7,594.09 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 8.6% | 11h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 77% ±20 | 30% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 57 | 60% ±9 | 77% ±20 | 87% ±27 | 93% ±29 | 1h | 0.56% | 0.46% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,548.06 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,513.65–7,525.14 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 6.7% | 11h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 75% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 23% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 71 | 54% ±8 | 75% ±18 | 86% ±24 | 89% ±35 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.46% | 140 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.85–7,475.34 (-1.0%) | 1.5 | 3.0% | 4h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 42% ±23 | 32% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 27% ±8 | 42% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 77% ±48 | 2.0d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,445.63 (-1.4%) | 2.2 | 6.2% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 52× | 22% ±25 | 23% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 35% ±13 | 49 | 10% ±7 | 22% ±25 | 51% ±49 | 66% ±66 | 2.9d | 0.42% | 0.25% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,387.24–7,415.72 (-1.8%) | 2.8 | 11.2% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 75× | 24% ±17 | 25% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 74 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±17 | 48% ±35 | 61% ±55 | 4.1d | 0.60% | 0.39% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,310.26 (-3.2%) | 5.0 | 3.3% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 9% ±9 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 3% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 28% ±25 | 50% ±44 | 7.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 210 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,548.06 | 7,683.43 | 7,415.72 | expired | -0.08% |