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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,620.9 (+1.5%) | 4.1 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 9% ±9 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 23% ±24 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 213 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 7,565.36–7,577.92 (+0.8%) | 2.1 | 10.0% | 14h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 23% ±16 | 24% ±9 | 44% ±11 | 32% ±10 | 85 | 8% ±4 | 23% ±16 | 42% ±32 | 67% ±46 | 4.5d | 0.42% | 0.22% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,511.31 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.3% | 13h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 75% ±19 | 31% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 72 | 61% ±9 | 75% ±19 | 87% ±27 | 93% ±28 | 1h | 0.54% | 0.33% | 112 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,505.98–7,525.14 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.6% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 78% ±20 | 29% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 63% ±9 | 78% ±20 | 88% ±26 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 0.56% | 0.42% | 104 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,505.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,504.5 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.1% | 9h | 12.8d ago · 40× | 72% ±33 | 18% ±13 | 44% ±17 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 60% ±15 | 72% ±33 | 84% ±51 | 91% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.14% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.85–7,467.68 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 1.8% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 45% ±22 | 31% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 32% ±8 | 46% ±22 | 60% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 1.2d | 0.51% | 0.36% | 120 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,406.39–7,433.21 (-1.0%) | 2.6 | 5.7% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 29% ±21 | 28% ±10 | 22% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 73 | 11% ±6 | 29% ±20 | 45% ±40 | 61% ±55 | 5.2d | 0.46% | 0.47% | 112 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D VAL | 7,421.71–7,427.75 (-1.0%) | 2.8 | 6.9% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 67× | 23% ±15 | 22% ±10 | 41% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 9% ±4 | 23% ±15 | 45% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 4.6d | 0.61% | 0.44% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,263.07 (-3.2%) | 8.7 | 0.8% | 46m | 6.6d ago · 58× | 9% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 53 | 4% ±3 | 9% ±11 | 24% ±30 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 150 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,505.53 | 7,509.91 | 7,423.43 | target | -0.10% |