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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-22 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,620.9 (+1.7%) | 4.4 | 1.7% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 8% ±9 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 21% ±23 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 7,556.88–7,565.36 (+0.8%) | 2.1 | 8.7% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 24% ±16 | 24% ±9 | 44% ±11 | 32% ±10 | 85 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±32 | 68% ±46 | 4.3d | 0.42% | 0.22% | 162 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,551.95–7,597.92 (+0.8%) | 2.0 | 5.4% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 39% ±23 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 13% ±6 | 39% ±23 | 55% ±40 | 76% ±49 | 2.9d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 7,499.7–7,508.67 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.8% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 77% ±18 | 32% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 73 | 60% ±8 | 77% ±18 | 85% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.26% | 131 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,495.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,481.5 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 80% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 56% ±8 | 80% ±17 | 86% ±25 | 92% ±30 | 2h | 0.58% | 0.51% | 131 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.85–7,479.17 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 1.9% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 68% ±22 | 31% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 52% ±10 | 68% ±22 | 76% ±34 | 89% ±44 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.37% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 7,433.39–7,437.04 (-0.8%) | 2.0 | 3.7% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 63× | 35% ±26 | 22% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 36% ±12 | 58 | 16% ±8 | 35% ±26 | 60% ±48 | 71% ±63 | 2.4d | 0.64% | 0.38% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,254.85 (-3.2%) | 8.4 | 0.3% | 15m | 6.7d ago · 58× | 8% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 53 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 24% ±28 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 154 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,495.25 | 7,433.39 | 7,543.78 | target | +1.04% |