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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-26 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,617.07 (+3.3%) | 6.5 | 4.6% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 49× | 4% ±7 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±17 | 32% ±46 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 7,565.36 (+2.6%) | 5.1 | 12.0% | 18h | 5.0d ago · 46× | 6% ±11 | 26% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 8% ±22 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.30% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,498.47 (+1.7%) | 3.3 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.0d ago · 66× | 13% ±11 | 34% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 25% ±10 | 68 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 29% ±27 | 58% ±43 | 5.9d | 0.52% | 0.17% | 199 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,448.53–7,452.36 (+1.0%) | 2.0 | 2.5% | 4h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 42% ±34 | 30% ±17 | 3% ±7 | 67% ±18 | 27 | 20% ±11 | 41% ±32 | 59% ±56 | 84% | 1.9d | 0.37% | 0.62% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,402.56–7,410.22 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 6.4% | 9h | 5.0d ago · 65× | 69% ±18 | 30% ±11 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 61 | 51% ±8 | 69% ±18 | 81% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 3h | 0.56% | 0.42% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 7,394.9–7,409.74 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 6.1% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 71× | 67% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 85 | 48% ±7 | 67% ±15 | 78% ±24 | 86% ±30 | 16h | 0.44% | 0.28% | 224 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,375.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,369.37–7,370.82 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.4% | 11h | 5.0d ago · 75× | 80% ±18 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 74 | 63% ±9 | 80% ±18 | 91% ±23 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.27% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,336.74–7,341.35 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 4.2% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 67× | 65% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 71 | 44% ±7 | 66% ±18 | 74% ±29 | 87% ±33 | 12h | 0.60% | 0.48% | 168 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,306.8–7,337.44 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 4h | 13.9d ago · 54× | 61% ±20 | 29% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 55 | 49% ±8 | 61% ±20 | 73% ±33 | 87% ±38 | 18h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 133 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,375.14 | 7,409.74 | 7,341.35 | stop | -0.51% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,375.14 | 7,498.47 | 7,336.74 | expired | -0.51% |