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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-29 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,563.44 (+2.3%) | 4.4 | 8.3% | 12h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 8% ±9 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 20% ±23 | 45% ±44 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 217 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,525.14–7,532.8 (+1.8%) | 3.5 | 3.1% | 7h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 17% ±28 | 30% ±17 | 3% ±7 | 67% ±18 | 27 | 7% ±7 | 17% ±28 | 41% ±68 | 72% | 3.9d | 0.37% | 0.62% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,498.47 (+1.5%) | 2.8 | 5.9% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 19% ±14 | 34% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 25% ±10 | 68 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 36% ±28 | 65% ±42 | 4.2d | 0.52% | 0.17% | 194 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,400.72 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 7.3% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 76% ±16 | 24% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 58% ±7 | 76% ±16 | 86% ±22 | 90% ±29 | 1h | 0.40% | 0.18% | 166 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,398.73–7,414.05 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.2% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 74% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 62 | 58% ±9 | 74% ±19 | 84% ±27 | 89% ±35 | 2h | 0.56% | 0.42% | 127 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,390.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,333.61–7,366.53 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 9.8% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 60% ±18 | 25% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 75 | 40% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 74% ±29 | 85% ±35 | 22h | 0.57% | 0.41% | 164 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,306.8–7,333.61 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 3.2% | 4h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 46% ±21 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 33% ±8 | 46% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 1.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,390.62 | 7,400.72 | 7,336.39 | target | +1.10% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,390.62 | 7,498.47 | 7,336.74 | expired | +1.10% |
| 30d | POC | long | 7,390.62 | 7,563.44 | 7,333.61 | expired | +1.10% |