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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,554.12 (+0.8%) | 2.3 | 2.8% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 49× | 19% ±15 | 25% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±15 | 43% ±32 | 64% ±47 | 4.0d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,512.94–7,523.03 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 5.5% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 71× | 63% ±16 | 29% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 28% ±9 | 87 | 43% ±7 | 63% ±16 | 76% ±24 | 86% ±30 | 13h | 0.46% | 0.19% | 214 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,494.6–7,498.71 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 9.2% | 11h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 77% ±19 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 74 | 60% ±9 | 77% ±19 | 86% ±26 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 0.50% | 0.30% | 117 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,493 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,439.93 (-0.7%) | 2.0 | 4.9% | 7h | 6.8d ago · 67× | 37% ±20 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 72 | 16% ±6 | 37% ±20 | 50% ±35 | 70% ±52 | 3.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 139 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,428.29–7,438.49 (-0.7%) | 2.1 | 5.5% | 7h | 5.0d ago · 62× | 41% ±23 | 28% ±10 | 23% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 75 | 18% ±7 | 41% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 70% ±52 | 2.0d | 0.47% | 0.46% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,363.61–7,373.88 (-1.6%) | 4.5 | 6.1% | 8h | 6.1d ago · 58× | 14% ±12 | 23% ±11 | 40% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±29 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.50% | 175 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,312.67–7,333.07 (-2.1%) | 6.1 | 1.7% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 54× | 15% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 33% ±37 | 40% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 107 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 7,493 | 7,498.71 | 7,526.09 | target | +0.46% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,493 | 7,498.6 | 7,551.72 | target | +0.46% |
| 30d | POC | short | 7,493 | 7,373.88 | 7,554.12 | expired | +0.46% |