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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-07 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,554.12 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 2.7% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 40% ±20 | 25% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 22% ±7 | 41% ±21 | 63% ±36 | 80% ±46 | 1.9d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,522.85–7,523.03 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.6% | 7h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 78% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 28% ±9 | 87 | 60% ±7 | 78% ±15 | 86% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.19% | 169 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,516.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,475.9–7,513.31 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.0% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 80% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 61% ±8 | 80% ±17 | 90% ±22 | 93% ±29 | 1h | 0.49% | 0.46% | 128 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 7,494.6–7,496.03 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 9.8% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 66% ±18 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 76 | 48% ±8 | 67% ±18 | 83% ±25 | 88% ±32 | 13h | 0.51% | 0.34% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,454.78 (-0.8%) | 2.4 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 29% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 72 | 13% ±5 | 29% ±17 | 46% ±33 | 67% ±46 | 3.8d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 169 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,363.61–7,373.88 (-1.9%) | 5.5 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 58× | 11% ±11 | 23% ±11 | 40% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 29% ±28 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.50% | 175 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,312.67–7,333.07 (-2.4%) | 7.0 | 1.6% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 14% ±17 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±17 | 30% ±40 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 97 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.