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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,554.12 (+1.3%) | 3.6 | 2.7% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 12% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 43% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 53 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 29% ±27 | 52% ±44 | 6.8d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 206 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,522.85–7,523.03 (+0.9%) | 2.4 | 4.0% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 23% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 28% ±9 | 87 | 7% ±4 | 23% ±15 | 40% ±30 | 68% ±46 | 4.5d | 0.46% | 0.19% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,494.6–7,496.03 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 10.7% | 13h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 47% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 74 | 29% ±7 | 47% ±20 | 62% ±34 | 81% ±44 | 1.7d | 0.50% | 0.30% | 142 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,475.9–7,516.71 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 6.0% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 71% ±18 | 28% ±11 | 33% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 64 | 53% ±8 | 71% ±18 | 82% ±25 | 88% ±31 | 3h | 0.54% | 0.42% | 154 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,458.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,453.54 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 82% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 72 | 61% ±9 | 82% ±17 | 88% ±24 | 93% ±28 | 1h | 0.58% | 0.51% | 121 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,428.29–7,438.49 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 5.3% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 71% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 51% ±8 | 71% ±17 | 85% ±24 | 89% ±30 | 3h | 0.49% | 0.46% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,366.18–7,373.88 (-1.1%) | 3.2 | 5.9% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 58× | 23% ±16 | 23% ±11 | 40% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 55 | 6% ±4 | 23% ±16 | 43% ±32 | 57% ±49 | 5.1d | 0.67% | 0.50% | 156 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,312.67–7,333.07 (-1.7%) | 4.7 | 1.6% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 19% ±17 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±17 | 44% ±37 | 54% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 122 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,458.46 | 7,453.54 | 7,522.85 | target | -0.64% |
| 14d | POC | short | 7,458.46 | 7,366.18 | 7,523.03 | expired | -0.64% |
| 30d | POC | short | 7,458.46 | 7,373.88 | 7,554.12 | expired | -0.64% |