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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-08 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,567.72 (+1.1%) | 3.0 | 1.9% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 49× | 13% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 43% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 53 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 33% ±28 | 54% ±44 | 6.2d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 198 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,551.31 (+0.9%) | 2.4 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.0d ago · 66× | 24% ±15 | 35% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 25% ±10 | 72 | 7% ±4 | 24% ±15 | 41% ±31 | 71% ±45 | 4.0d | 0.54% | 0.17% | 186 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,521.53 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 4.6% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 71× | 49% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 88 | 28% ±6 | 49% ±17 | 67% ±28 | 78% ±37 | 1.0d | 0.43% | 0.17% | 190 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,494.6–7,496.03 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 10.9% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 75% ±18 | 32% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 75 | 56% ±9 | 74% ±18 | 84% ±27 | 90% ±35 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.30% | 130 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,484.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,443.83 (-0.5%) | 1.5 | 3.4% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 67× | 57% ±20 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 72 | 33% ±8 | 57% ±20 | 68% ±32 | 82% ±43 | 22h | 0.58% | 0.51% | 144 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,428.29–7,438.49 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.0d ago · 62× | 50% ±21 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 76 | 26% ±7 | 51% ±21 | 66% ±35 | 76% ±48 | 1.0d | 0.49% | 0.46% | 134 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,380.68–7,389.32 (-1.3%) | 3.4 | 4.2% | 6h | 6.1d ago · 58× | 22% ±16 | 23% ±11 | 40% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 55 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±16 | 43% ±32 | 55% ±49 | 5.4d | 0.67% | 0.50% | 157 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,312.67–7,333.07 (-2.0%) | 5.5 | 1.7% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 54× | 15% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±16 | 39% ±39 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,484.45 | 7,494.98 | 7,429.85 | target | +0.81% |