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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-09 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,567.72 (+0.8%) | 2.4 | 1.7% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 19% ±14 | 27% ±12 | 43% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 53 | 6% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 43% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 4.0d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,551.31 (+0.6%) | 1.8 | 2.7% | 4h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 35% ±17 | 35% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 25% ±10 | 72 | 17% ±6 | 35% ±17 | 50% ±31 | 75% ±42 | 3.0d | 0.54% | 0.17% | 176 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,516.35 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.8% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 73% ±16 | 25% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 88 | 56% ±7 | 73% ±16 | 84% ±23 | 89% ±31 | 2h | 0.43% | 0.17% | 187 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,506.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,494.6–7,496.03 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 10.5% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 77% ±19 | 24% ±11 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 63 | 58% ±9 | 77% ±19 | 86% ±28 | 90% ±34 | 1h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,480.74 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 7.7% | 10h | 6.8d ago · 75× | 62% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 35% ±11 | 77 | 43% ±7 | 62% ±18 | 81% ±24 | 90% ±29 | 18h | 0.46% | 0.28% | 171 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,428.29–7,435.09 (-0.9%) | 2.8 | 5.2% | 7h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 27% ±19 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 77 | 11% ±5 | 27% ±19 | 44% ±37 | 62% ±55 | 5.0d | 0.47% | 0.46% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,425.32–7,430.88 (-1.0%) | 3.0 | 5.4% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 22% ±14 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 72 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±14 | 42% ±29 | 61% ±43 | 5.0d | 0.60% | 0.48% | 202 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,380.68 (-1.7%) | 4.9 | 4.7% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 11% ±12 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±12 | 28% ±31 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 148 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,312.67–7,333.07 (-2.3%) | 6.8 | 1.5% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 14% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±16 | 29% ±36 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 102 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 7,506.34 | 7,551.31 | 7,425.32 | target | +0.61% |
| 30d | POC | long | 7,506.34 | 7,567.72 | 7,380.68 | expired | +0.61% |