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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-13 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,579.93 (+0.7%) | 2.6 | 1.2% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 16% ±13 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 5% ±3 | 16% ±13 | 42% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 4.9d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,541.19–7,553.05 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 7.3% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 59% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 89 | 39% ±7 | 59% ±17 | 73% ±26 | 84% ±32 | 17h | 0.48% | 0.23% | 193 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,531.35–7,548.5 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.5% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 72% ±18 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 65 | 57% ±8 | 72% ±18 | 83% ±26 | 88% ±36 | 2h | 0.54% | 0.42% | 136 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,523.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,468.49–7,522.78 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.7% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 80% ±18 | 27% ±10 | 25% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 78 | 64% ±9 | 80% ±18 | 90% ±22 | 93% ±28 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.47% | 121 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,498.49–7,498.5 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 10.3% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 61% ±21 | 25% ±11 | 36% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 64 | 41% ±9 | 61% ±21 | 79% ±30 | 83% ±43 | 21h | 0.53% | 0.39% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,469.25–7,478.74 (-0.6%) | 2.1 | 7.5% | 9h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 31% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 73 | 11% ±5 | 31% ±18 | 47% ±35 | 64% ±47 | 3.6d | 0.61% | 0.48% | 150 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,445.63–7,457.06 (-0.9%) | 3.1 | 2.7% | 4h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 24% ±18 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 11% ±5 | 24% ±18 | 52% ±37 | 65% ±54 | 2.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,434.2 (-1.2%) | 4.1 | 3.9% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 18% ±15 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 6% ±4 | 18% ±15 | 39% ±34 | 53% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 141 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,523.54 | 7,498.5 | 7,560.67 | expired | -0.35% |