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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,579.93 (+0.6%) | 2.4 | 1.0% | 1h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 19% ±14 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 6% ±3 | 18% ±14 | 45% ±31 | 65% ±47 | 4.0d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,541.98–7,548.31 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 6.2% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 72% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 89 | 54% ±7 | 72% ±14 | 83% ±21 | 89% ±27 | 3h | 0.46% | 0.19% | 219 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,533.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,471.35–7,525.64 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 4.0% | 7h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 76% ±17 | 27% ±10 | 25% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 78 | 57% ±8 | 76% ±16 | 88% ±21 | 90% ±29 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.47% | 153 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,515.9 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 7.1% | 11h | 6.8d ago · 75× | 63% ±18 | 27% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 35% ±11 | 78 | 45% ±7 | 63% ±18 | 82% ±24 | 90% ±29 | 18h | 0.48% | 0.28% | 174 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,498.49–7,498.5 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 9.1% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 41% ±25 | 25% ±11 | 36% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 64 | 13% ±7 | 40% ±25 | 67% ±41 | 75% ±60 | 2.0d | 0.53% | 0.39% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,470.83–7,477.16 (-0.8%) | 2.9 | 6.4% | 8h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 21% ±14 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 73 | 7% ±3 | 21% ±14 | 40% ±29 | 59% ±43 | 5.4d | 0.61% | 0.48% | 206 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,445.63–7,457.06 (-1.0%) | 4.0 | 2.3% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 20% ±17 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±17 | 44% ±37 | 55% ±56 | 5.1d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,434.2 (-1.3%) | 5.2 | 3.5% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 10% ±12 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 26% ±29 | 36% ±47 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 159 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.