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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,579.93 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 1h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 37% ±20 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 18% ±6 | 37% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 2.1d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,551.47–7,559.38 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 76% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 89 | 59% ±7 | 77% ±14 | 86% ±20 | 90% ±26 | 2h | 0.46% | 0.19% | 198 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,549.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,531.35–7,548.5 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 7h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 80% ±17 | 27% ±10 | 24% ±9 | 49% ±11 | 79 | 65% ±8 | 81% ±17 | 91% ±21 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.47% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,539.61–7,541.19 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 7.1% | 11h | 4.8d ago · 75× | 74% ±18 | 25% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 79 | 55% ±8 | 73% ±18 | 87% ±24 | 92% ±30 | 2h | 0.50% | 0.30% | 143 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,498.49 (-0.7%) | 2.6 | 9.0% | 11h | 4.6d ago · 48× | 26% ±25 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 7% ±6 | 26% ±25 | 48% ±49 | 54% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.52% | 0.48% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,483.48 (-0.9%) | 3.4 | 6.5% | 8h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 18% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 73 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±12 | 37% ±27 | 56% ±43 | 5.8d | 0.61% | 0.48% | 217 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,445.63–7,457.06 (-1.2%) | 4.7 | 2.3% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 17% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±16 | 42% ±37 | 51% ±57 | 7.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.06 (-1.5%) | 5.8 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 8% ±11 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 22% ±27 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 159 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,549.58 | 7,559.38 | 7,483.48 | target | +0.06% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,549.58 | 7,551.47 | 7,483.48 | target | +0.06% |