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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-15 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,578.63 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.3% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 84% ±17 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 61% ±9 | 84% ±17 | 90% ±24 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.23% | 110 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,571.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 7,570.32 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.4% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 52× | 78% ±24 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 53 | 59% ±11 | 78% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.41% | 0.26% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,529.78–7,552.77 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 4.5% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 69% ±16 | 27% ±10 | 24% ±9 | 49% ±11 | 79 | 48% ±7 | 69% ±16 | 83% ±23 | 88% ±32 | 18h | 0.46% | 0.47% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,543.98–7,552.76 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 4.5% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 75× | 53% ±20 | 23% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 79 | 31% ±8 | 52% ±20 | 75% ±30 | 85% ±40 | 24h | 0.47% | 0.29% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,504.85 (-0.9%) | 3.5 | 6.9% | 9h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 73 | 6% ±3 | 14% ±11 | 34% ±27 | 58% ±43 | 5.9d | 0.59% | 0.50% | 221 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 7,493.87 (-1.0%) | 4.0 | 8.5% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 15% ±17 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±17 | 30% ±40 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.48% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,482.5 (-1.2%) | 4.6 | 6.4% | 8h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 14% ±12 | 26% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±29 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 179 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,452.21 (-1.6%) | 6.2 | 1.8% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 14% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±15 | 30% ±37 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 116 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.84 (-1.8%) | 6.9 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 8% ±10 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±10 | 19% ±24 | 27% ±43 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 183 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,571.85 | 7,637.32 | 7,543.98 | stop | -0.02% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,571.85 | 7,642.11 | 7,543.98 | stop | -0.02% |