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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-16 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,571.45–7,575.75 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 5h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 82% ±15 | 28% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 30% ±9 | 90 | 63% ±8 | 82% ±15 | 88% ±21 | 92% ±27 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.20% | 156 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,570.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,529.78–7,549.89 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 6.1% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 70% ±16 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 80 | 50% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 84% ±23 | 88% ±32 | 4h | 0.47% | 0.47% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,543.98–7,544.22 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 8.2% | 13h | 4.8d ago · 75× | 55% ±19 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 80 | 36% ±7 | 56% ±19 | 78% ±27 | 86% ±34 | 23h | 0.51% | 0.29% | 160 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,528.72 (-0.5%) | 1.9 | 5.1% | 9h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 41% ±20 | 22% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 73 | 20% ±7 | 41% ±20 | 53% ±35 | 71% ±51 | 2.8d | 0.59% | 0.50% | 144 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 7,493.87–7,495.27 (-1.0%) | 3.4 | 9.8% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 58× | 19% ±15 | 27% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 38% ±32 | 49% ±49 | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.46% | 168 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,452.21 (-1.6%) | 5.4 | 2.0% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 14% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 37% ±36 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.84 (-1.7%) | 6.1 | 3.4% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 8% ±10 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 21% ±27 | 29% ±44 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 168 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 7,570.02 | 7,544.22 | 7,579.14 | target | +1.07% |