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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-16 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,570.99–7,575.75 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 3.3% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 66% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 90 | 47% ±6 | 67% ±15 | 79% ±22 | 87% ±26 | 18h | 0.46% | 0.20% | 232 → 6 | |
| at post · 7,552.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,532.66–7,552.77 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.3% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 81% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 80 | 67% ±8 | 82% ±17 | 91% ±21 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.47% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 7,534.94–7,544.33 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 7.7% | 12h | 4.9d ago · 75× | 76% ±16 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 80 | 55% ±8 | 76% ±16 | 86% ±23 | 93% ±26 | 2h | 0.53% | 0.36% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,509.64 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 7.1% | 10h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 31% ±21 | 26% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 55 | 14% ±6 | 31% ±21 | 47% ±40 | 67% ±53 | 3.8d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,493.87 (-0.8%) | 2.7 | 9.4% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 25% ±24 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 6% ±5 | 25% ±23 | 47% ±49 | 52% ±69 | 6.9d | 0.52% | 0.48% | 80 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,452.21 (-1.3%) | 4.7 | 2.0% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 17% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±16 | 41% ±36 | 51% ±57 | 6.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.84 (-1.5%) | 5.3 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 10% ±11 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 24% ±28 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 166 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.