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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,570.32–7,575.75 (+1.1%) | 3.1 | 3.8% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 14% ±12 | 28% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 91 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 30% ±26 | 58% ±43 | 5.7d | 0.45% | 0.20% | 207 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,531.92–7,547.7 (+0.6%) | 1.7 | 6.9% | 11h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 34% ±21 | 33% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 34% ±11 | 77 | 13% ±6 | 34% ±21 | 50% ±37 | 79% ±46 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.34% | 121 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,529.78–7,552.77 (+0.5%) | 1.6 | 6.2% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 46% ±20 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 22% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 76% ±48 | 1.9d | 0.53% | 0.42% | 145 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,512.84 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 8.5% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 78% ±23 | 29% ±14 | 43% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 39 | 59% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 86% ±34 | 98% ±22 | 2h | 0.62% | 0.44% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,493.87 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.9% | 13h | 4.8d ago · 46× | 79% ±21 | 26% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 62% ±11 | 79% ±21 | 88% ±28 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 0.43% | 0.35% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,488.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,452.21 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 2.4% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 46% ±21 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 33% ±8 | 46% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 1.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.84 (-0.7%) | 2.0 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 44% ±27 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 20% ±9 | 44% ±27 | 61% ±48 | 73% ±61 | 2.0d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,488.85 | 7,445.28 | 7,547.7 | expired | +0.41% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,488.85 | 7,431.37 | 7,543.98 | expired | +0.41% |
| 30d | POC | short | 7,488.85 | 7,437.84 | 7,575.75 | expired | +0.41% |