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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-17 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,573.52–7,575.75 (+1.1%) | 3.0 | 3.3% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 16% ±12 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 91 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±12 | 34% ±28 | 60% ±43 | 5.6d | 0.46% | 0.20% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,543.98–7,547.7 (+0.7%) | 1.9 | 9.6% | 15h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 33% ±21 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 77 | 12% ±6 | 33% ±21 | 48% ±40 | 78% ±47 | 3.4d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 113 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,532.66–7,552.77 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 7.1% | 12h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 51% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 29% ±7 | 51% ±19 | 64% ±31 | 77% ±41 | 1.0d | 0.53% | 0.42% | 158 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,524.41 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 5.7% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 49× | 67% ±26 | 32% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 41% ±11 | 67% ±26 | 81% ±39 | 99% ±15 | 18h | 0.49% | 0.46% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,511.24 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 7.4% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 82% ±22 | 29% ±14 | 43% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 39 | 63% ±11 | 82% ±22 | 89% ±31 | 97% ±23 | 2h | 0.62% | 0.44% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,494.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 7,493.87 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 11.6% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 78% ±24 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 63% ±11 | 78% ±24 | 84% ±36 | 86% ±49 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.48% | 74 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,452.21 (-0.6%) | 1.6 | 2.4% | 4h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 43% ±21 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 29% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 77% ±47 | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.84 (-0.8%) | 2.2 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 41% ±26 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 18% ±8 | 41% ±26 | 57% ±43 | 68% ±65 | 2.8d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 7,494.5 | 7,575.75 | 7,437.84 | expired | -0.49% |