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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-20 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,570.98–7,575.75 (+1.2%) | 3.1 | 4.3% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 14% ±12 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 91 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 31% ±26 | 58% ±43 | 5.7d | 0.46% | 0.20% | 212 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,543.98–7,547.7 (+0.8%) | 2.1 | 11.0% | 16h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 28% ±19 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 77 | 8% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±37 | 74% ±49 | 3.5d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 123 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,512.54–7,521.16 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 7.6% | 11h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 64% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 45% ±7 | 64% ±17 | 75% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 18h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,493.87–7,513.89 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 9.9% | 12h | 4.8d ago · 49× | 73% ±22 | 28% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 34% ±13 | 48 | 53% ±10 | 73% ±22 | 85% ±32 | 96% ±28 | 7h | 0.52% | 0.40% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,482.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,446.46 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 3.1% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 53% ±21 | 30% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 58 | 41% ±8 | 53% ±21 | 67% ±35 | 83% ±43 | 22h | 0.55% | 0.37% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,434.97 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 4.2% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 46% ±26 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 23% ±9 | 46% ±26 | 63% ±42 | 77% ±58 | 1.8d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 82 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.