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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,575.49–7,578.31 (+1.5%) | 3.7 | 3.0% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 11% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 91 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±10 | 26% ±25 | 53% ±44 | 6.6d | 0.46% | 0.20% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,543.98–7,547.7 (+1.0%) | 2.6 | 11.1% | 17h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 21% ±17 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 77 | 4% ±4 | 21% ±17 | 38% ±36 | 72% ±51 | 4.5d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 130 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,512.54–7,521.16 (+0.6%) | 1.6 | 7.7% | 12h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 46% ±20 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 22% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 60% ±34 | 76% ±42 | 1.9d | 0.53% | 0.42% | 150 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,493.87–7,504.88 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 10.4% | 13h | 4.9d ago · 49× | 67% ±20 | 28% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 34% ±13 | 48 | 47% ±9 | 67% ±20 | 81% ±29 | 93% ±29 | 14h | 0.52% | 0.40% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,466.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,443.59–7,446.46 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 4h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 68% ±20 | 30% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 58 | 54% ±9 | 68% ±20 | 77% ±31 | 89% ±35 | 3h | 0.55% | 0.37% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,437.84 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 4.3% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 62% ±22 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 43% ±9 | 61% ±22 | 72% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 18h | 0.77% | 0.55% | 106 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.