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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-21 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,575.49–7,578.31 (+1.1%) | 2.8 | 3.0% | 5h | 5.0d ago · 71× | 18% ±13 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 91 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±13 | 36% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 5.2d | 0.46% | 0.20% | 207 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,543.98–7,547.7 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 10.9% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 35% ±21 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 77 | 15% ±7 | 35% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 79% ±46 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 118 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,512.54–7,521.16 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 7.6% | 12h | 5.2d ago · 65× | 70% ±18 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 53% ±8 | 69% ±18 | 81% ±26 | 87% ±32 | 3h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 158 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 7,493.87 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.2% | 14h | 5.2d ago · 46× | 78% ±23 | 25% ±12 | 39% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 48 | 61% ±11 | 79% ±23 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.45% | 0.32% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,493.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,482.34–7,487.29 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.3% | 14h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 74% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 55% ±8 | 74% ±18 | 81% ±29 | 89% ±35 | 8h | 0.60% | 0.48% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,440.71 (-0.7%) | 1.8 | 4.3% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 41× | 44% ±26 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 22% ±9 | 45% ±25 | 60% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 2.0d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 87 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,411.98–7,426.35 (-0.9%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 3h | 14.1d ago · 54× | 29% ±19 | 30% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 58 | 18% ±7 | 29% ±19 | 53% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 2.8d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 124 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,493.8 | 7,547.7 | 7,465.57 | expired | +0.07% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 7,493.8 | 7,543.98 | 7,470.91 | expired | +0.07% |