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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,573.99–7,575.75 (+0.9%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 24% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 91 | 7% ±4 | 24% ±15 | 43% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.46% | 0.20% | 189 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,543.98–7,547.7 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 10.2% | 16h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 50% ±20 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 77 | 32% ±7 | 50% ±20 | 64% ±33 | 82% ±38 | 1.1d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 149 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,532.66–7,552.77 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 7.6% | 12h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 68% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 49% ±7 | 68% ±17 | 80% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 5h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 173 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,509.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,482.34–7,493.87 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 10.2% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 67× | 69% ±17 | 25% ±10 | 36% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 48% ±7 | 69% ±17 | 77% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 8h | 0.58% | 0.49% | 178 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,443.59 (-0.9%) | 2.3 | 3.7% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 40% ±24 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 16% ±7 | 40% ±24 | 55% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 2.8d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 96 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,411.98–7,426.35 (-1.1%) | 2.9 | 2.5% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 25% ±18 | 30% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 58 | 13% ±6 | 25% ±18 | 53% ±37 | 66% ±54 | 2.9d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 134 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.