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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-24 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,575.34–7,575.75 (+2.1%) | 6.7 | 2.4% | 4h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±19 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.20% | 168 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 7,505.36–7,519.94 (+1.2%) | 3.8 | 11.1% | 15h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 9% ±11 | 29% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 91 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±10 | 21% ±25 | 56% ±49 | 6.1d | 0.47% | 0.26% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,486.97 (+1.0%) | 3.0 | 7.3% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 44× | 39% ±30 | 28% ±14 | 44% ±15 | 28% ±14 | 40 | 15% ±9 | 38% ±30 | 64% ±54 | 88% | 1.9d | 0.62% | 0.43% | 59 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,478.06–7,526.91 (+0.8%) | 2.6 | 6.0% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 34% ±21 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 8% ±5 | 34% ±21 | 48% ±37 | 71% ±51 | 3.8d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,446.46–7,453.97 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 49× | 55% ±29 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 29% ±11 | 53% ±28 | 69% ±45 | 90% ±42 | 1.0d | 0.51% | 0.49% | 70 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,415.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,374.63–7,383.25 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 2.4% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 50% ±20 | 31% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 59 | 38% ±8 | 51% ±20 | 64% ±33 | 81% ±45 | 1.0d | 0.58% | 0.36% | 138 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.