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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,572.88–7,575.34 (+1.8%) | 5.5 | 3.1% | 5h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 6% ±8 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 15% ±20 | 36% ±42 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.20% | 207 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,525.94 (+1.1%) | 3.5 | 5.5% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 12% ±12 | 24% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 91 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 24% ±26 | 56% ±49 | 6.3d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 181 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,505.36–7,506.49 (+0.9%) | 2.7 | 11.2% | 15h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 18% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 36% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 78 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 35% ±33 | 67% ±53 | 5.0d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 135 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,478.06–7,526.91 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 6.1% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 48% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 25% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 61% ±32 | 77% ±42 | 1.8d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,476.7 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 5.8% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 63% ±28 | 28% ±14 | 44% ±15 | 28% ±14 | 40 | 37% ±12 | 63% ±28 | 81% ±39 | 96% ±28 | 21h | 0.62% | 0.43% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,449.33–7,449.47 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.1% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 49× | 74% ±25 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 51% ±12 | 74% ±25 | 85% ±35 | 96% ±26 | 5h | 0.51% | 0.49% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,441.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,414.85–7,426.35 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 70% ±21 | 30% ±12 | 30% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 55% ±9 | 70% ±20 | 79% ±30 | 90% ±34 | 3h | 0.55% | 0.37% | 117 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,441.21 | 7,364.74 | 7,505.7 | expired | +0.38% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 7,441.21 | 7,317.66 | 7,505.36 | expired | +0.38% |