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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-27 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,558.24–7,560.95 (+2.3%) | 5.7 | 5.8% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 6% ±8 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 14% ±20 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.20% | 201 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,525.94 (+1.9%) | 4.7 | 8.3% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 5% ±8 | 24% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 91 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 14% ±21 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 171 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,505.7–7,506.49 (+1.6%) | 4.0 | 15.4% | 18h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 10% ±12 | 31% ±10 | 36% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 78 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 21% ±27 | 56% ±49 | 5.5d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 154 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,481.47–7,523.34 (+1.3%) | 3.2 | 9.0% | 12h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 27% ±21 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±21 | 42% ±39 | 67% ±65 | 4.0d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,443.82–7,453.56 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 5.5% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 46% ±31 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 19% ±10 | 46% ±31 | 64% ±54 | 84% | 1.8d | 0.61% | 0.50% | 58 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,418.67–7,427.97 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 3.8% | 6h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 69% ±26 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±6 | 65% ±17 | 31 | 42% ±12 | 69% ±26 | 85% ±35 | 94% ±32 | 19h | 0.49% | 0.58% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,410.49 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 6.2% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 70% ±23 | 33% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 48% ±10 | 70% ±23 | 83% ±33 | 99% ±15 | 6h | 0.49% | 0.39% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,385.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,385.5 | 7,270.05 | 7,505.7 | expired | -0.70% |