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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-28 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,560.56–7,569.17 (+2.2%) | 5.1 | 5.5% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 6% ±8 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 16% ±21 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.20% | 224 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,525.94 (+1.7%) | 4.0 | 8.5% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 8% ±10 | 24% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 91 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 20% ±23 | 52% ±44 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 189 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,505.7–7,506.49 (+1.4%) | 3.4 | 15.5% | 19h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 13% ±13 | 31% ±10 | 36% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 78 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 26% ±29 | 60% ±48 | 5.5d | 0.51% | 0.30% | 156 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,481.47–7,523.34 (+1.1%) | 2.6 | 9.0% | 13h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 33% ±20 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 8% ±5 | 32% ±20 | 48% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 3.8d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,439.71–7,451.23 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 61% ±27 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 34% ±11 | 59% ±27 | 74% ±43 | 88% ±44 | 22h | 0.61% | 0.50% | 77 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,420.99–7,427.97 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.3% | 6h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 76% ±25 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±6 | 65% ±17 | 31 | 50% ±12 | 76% ±24 | 89% ±31 | 94% ±32 | 4h | 0.49% | 0.58% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,407.49 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 8.0% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 49× | 76% ±25 | 33% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 54% ±12 | 77% ±25 | 89% ±31 | 99% ±16 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.39% | 68 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,399.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,399.91 | 7,281.46 | 7,505.7 | expired | +0.37% |