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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-29 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,557.82 (+2.5%) | 6.4 | 5.2% | 9h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 5% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 9% ±18 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,526.86 (+2.1%) | 5.3 | 6.9% | 11h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 7% ±9 | 33% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 75 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 17% ±22 | 39% ±43 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.19% | 194 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,507.04–7,507.24 (+1.8%) | 4.6 | 13.4% | 18h | 4.8d ago · 51× | 6% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 14% ±24 | 49% ±57 | 5.9d | 0.49% | 0.28% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 7,437.28–7,441.3 (+0.9%) | 2.2 | 8.8% | 11h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 28% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 41% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 91 | 8% ±4 | 28% ±16 | 44% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 4.3d | 0.44% | 0.28% | 181 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,432.97–7,439.43 (+0.8%) | 2.1 | 7.8% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 34% ±20 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 11% ±5 | 34% ±20 | 50% ±37 | 73% ±50 | 3.0d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 125 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,420.06–7,426.51 (+0.6%) | 1.6 | 4.5% | 6h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 55% ±29 | 31% ±16 | 3% ±6 | 66% ±16 | 32 | 27% ±11 | 56% ±29 | 74% ±43 | 91% ±39 | 22h | 0.49% | 0.54% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 7,401.7–7,402.17 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 7.0% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 68% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 50% ±8 | 68% ±17 | 80% ±26 | 90% ±29 | 5h | 0.56% | 0.36% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,383.81 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.0% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 73% ±25 | 32% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 51% ±11 | 74% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 99% ±16 | 3h | 0.49% | 0.37% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,372.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,372.64 | 7,315.15 | 7,402.17 | stop | -0.52% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,372.64 | 7,247.48 | 7,507.04 | expired | -0.52% |