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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-29 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,557.48 (+2.4%) | 5.8 | 5.7% | 10h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 5% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 12% ±19 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 202 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,525.79 (+2.0%) | 4.8 | 7.5% | 12h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 8% ±9 | 33% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 75 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 20% ±22 | 44% ±44 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.19% | 215 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,505.82–7,508.27 (+1.7%) | 4.1 | 14.0% | 18h | 4.8d ago · 51× | 7% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±23 | 51% ±49 | 6.0d | 0.49% | 0.28% | 154 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 7,437.35–7,440.97 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 8.9% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 37% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 41% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 91 | 14% ±5 | 37% ±18 | 52% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 2.7d | 0.44% | 0.28% | 172 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,432.55–7,439.75 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 7.6% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 43% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 19% ±6 | 43% ±19 | 59% ±32 | 77% ±41 | 2.0d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 153 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,420.53–7,425.34 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 4.0% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 66% ±28 | 31% ±16 | 3% ±6 | 67% ±16 | 33 | 37% ±11 | 65% ±27 | 83% ±37 | 94% ±32 | 21h | 0.49% | 0.50% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 7,401.98–7,402.68 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 6.4% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 72% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 55% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 83% ±24 | 91% ±28 | 3h | 0.57% | 0.36% | 156 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,381.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,380.43 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.8% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 85% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 76 | 66% ±9 | 85% ±16 | 90% ±24 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 0.56% | 0.51% | 113 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,381.46 | 7,402.68 | 7,369.53 | target | +0.54% |