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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-30 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,560.09 (+1.9%) | 3.8 | 6.5% | 11h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 10% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 27% ±24 | 51% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 231 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,527.42 (+1.4%) | 2.9 | 9.6% | 16h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 18% ±12 | 33% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 75 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±12 | 34% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 5.0d | 0.51% | 0.19% | 214 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,505.24–7,507.03 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 16.3% | 22h | 4.8d ago · 51× | 20% ±16 | 30% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 54 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±16 | 36% ±33 | 65% ±54 | 4.9d | 0.49% | 0.28% | 140 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,482.5–7,522.63 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 9.0% | 14h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 43% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 20% ±6 | 44% ±19 | 60% ±32 | 77% ±41 | 1.9d | 0.53% | 0.40% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 7,431.66–7,433.91 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 6.4% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 75% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 41% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 91 | 56% ±7 | 74% ±15 | 84% ±21 | 89% ±28 | 2h | 0.44% | 0.28% | 192 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,421.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 7,405.08–7,408.08 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 9.4% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 75× | 68% ±19 | 26% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 82 | 50% ±8 | 68% ±19 | 80% ±28 | 90% ±33 | 9h | 0.53% | 0.36% | 145 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,404.9–7,407.57 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 9.5% | 13h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 78% ±16 | 27% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 82 | 60% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±27 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.47% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,370.58 (-0.7%) | 1.4 | 2.8% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 60% ±19 | 21% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 77 | 35% ±8 | 60% ±19 | 70% ±30 | 84% ±36 | 21h | 0.57% | 0.51% | 156 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 7,421.15 | 7,507.03 | 7,383.06 | expired | +0.88% |