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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-31 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,560.09 (+1.8%) | 3.5 | 6.6% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 11% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±26 | 51% ±44 | 6.9d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 223 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAH | 7,505.24–7,519.58 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 14.3% | 20h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 24% ±15 | 32% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 75 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±15 | 41% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 4.3d | 0.50% | 0.24% | 198 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,434.33–7,445.03 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.2% | 12h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 75% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 69 | 60% ±8 | 75% ±19 | 85% ±26 | 90% ±34 | 1h | 0.54% | 0.40% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 7D VAH | 7,428.98–7,445.62 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 7.6% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 74% ±15 | 30% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 92 | 58% ±7 | 74% ±15 | 84% ±22 | 89% ±27 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.30% | 205 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,428.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,391.18–7,405.09 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 9.7% | 13h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 70% ±16 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 77 | 47% ±7 | 70% ±16 | 78% ±26 | 89% ±30 | 10h | 0.59% | 0.48% | 186 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,428.3 | 7,391.18 | 7,445.62 | stop | -0.82% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 7,428.3 | 7,297.19 | 7,505.24 | stop | -0.82% |