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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-31 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,557.42 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 7.9% | 13h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 25% ±17 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 10% ±5 | 25% ±17 | 51% ±35 | 72% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAH | 7,505.24–7,523.82 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 13.3% | 19h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 71% ±15 | 32% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 75 | 50% ±7 | 71% ±15 | 80% ±23 | 88% ±29 | 10h | 0.50% | 0.24% | 210 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,490.52–7,522.63 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.3% | 14h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 75% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 69 | 60% ±9 | 75% ±18 | 86% ±26 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 0.54% | 0.40% | 127 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,486.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,479.82–7,485.17 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 9.9% | 14h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 81% ±16 | 27% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 82 | 66% ±8 | 81% ±16 | 91% ±21 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.47% | 130 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,389.43–7,445.62 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 10.2% | 14h | 4.9d ago · 75× | 41% ±17 | 24% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 83 | 22% ±6 | 41% ±17 | 60% ±29 | 76% ±37 | 2.3d | 0.56% | 0.41% | 196 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 7,486.79 | 7,505.24 | 7,402.7 | target | +0.04% |