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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,573.47 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 7h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 90% ±14 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 68% ±9 | 90% ±14 | 93% ±20 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 0.50% | 0.22% | 100 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,569.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,530.66–7,552.07 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 11.2% | 18h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 77% ±16 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 59% ±8 | 77% ±16 | 88% ±21 | 91% ±28 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.46% | 162 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,506.52–7,525.91 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 10.9% | 17h | 4.6d ago · 63× | 53% ±24 | 23% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 66 | 29% ±9 | 53% ±24 | 73% ±36 | 81% ±55 | 1.0d | 0.49% | 0.39% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL · 7D POC | 7,434.14–7,450.94 (-1.6%) | 3.0 | 7.6% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 75× | 22% ±17 | 24% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±17 | 45% ±37 | 62% ±55 | 4.3d | 0.52% | 0.36% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,406.99 (-2.2%) | 4.0 | 11.0% | 14h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 18% ±14 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±14 | 39% ±30 | 51% ±49 | 7.0d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 180 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,378.55 (-2.5%) | 4.7 | 4.2% | 5h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±9 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 3% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 28% ±24 | 50% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 236 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,569.76 | 7,688.68 | 7,506.52 | expired | +1.32% |
| 30d | POC | long | 7,569.76 | 7,573.47 | 7,434.33 | target | +1.32% |