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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-03 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,595.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 7,576.41 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 7h | 13.8d ago · 30× | 81% ±26 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 64% ±13 | 81% ±26 | 83% ±42 | 87% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.44% | 51 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,531.25–7,553.83 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 9.5% | 16h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 68% ±16 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 46% ±7 | 68% ±16 | 81% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 18h | 0.46% | 0.46% | 187 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,507.26–7,525.61 (-0.9%) | 1.8 | 10.0% | 16h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 34% ±24 | 23% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 66 | 14% ±7 | 34% ±23 | 58% ±43 | 69% ±64 | 2.5d | 0.49% | 0.39% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 7,432.46–7,449.4 (-1.9%) | 3.8 | 7.7% | 10h | 4.9d ago · 75× | 18% ±15 | 24% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 7% ±4 | 18% ±15 | 38% ±34 | 53% ±49 | 6.1d | 0.52% | 0.36% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,401.42 (-2.6%) | 5.1 | 9.8% | 13h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 13% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±11 | 35% ±28 | 45% ±44 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 191 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,364.72 (-3.0%) | 6.0 | 2.3% | 2h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 7% ±8 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 27% ±26 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 204 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.