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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,669.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 7,576.25 (-1.2%) | 2.5 | 4.7% | 7h | 13.9d ago · 30× | 27% ±31 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 18% ±11 | 27% ±31 | 41% ±56 | 65% | 4.9d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 49 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,528.89–7,554.39 (-1.5%) | 3.1 | 8.7% | 15h | 5.0d ago · 62× | 24% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±36 | 60% ±55 | 5.9d | 0.46% | 0.46% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,508.85–7,528.89 (-1.8%) | 3.8 | 9.3% | 15h | 4.8d ago · 63× | 16% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 66 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 33% ±37 | 50% ±69 | 6.1d | 0.49% | 0.39% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,456.02 (-2.8%) | 5.7 | 5.6% | 9h | 5.0d ago · 52× | 17% ±33 | 21% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 54 | 12% ±12 | 16% ±32 | 26% ±61 | 39% | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.26% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 7,430.51–7,435.98 (-3.0%) | 6.3 | 9.5% | 12h | 6.1d ago · 75× | 10% ±11 | 26% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 4% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 24% ±26 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 0.57% | 0.39% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,397.72 (-3.5%) | 7.3 | 8.4% | 12h | 6.8d ago · 58× | 7% ±10 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 24% ±27 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 176 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,321.21 (-4.5%) | 9.4 | 0.4% | 15m | 6.8d ago · 67× | 6% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 4% ±4 | 6% ±10 | 19% ±29 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 118 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.