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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,736.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,616.19–7,688.56 (-0.6%) | 1.6 | 0.4% | 27m | 14.0d ago · 54× | 45% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 62 | 32% ±8 | 45% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 1.2d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 135 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,573.62 (-2.1%) | 5.4 | 4.5% | 7h | 14.0d ago · 30× | 8% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±17 | 24% ±48 | 47% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,479.95–7,556.59 (-2.3%) | 5.9 | 6.1% | 11h | 5.1d ago · 62× | 11% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±39 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.46% | 0.46% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,496.98–7,507.63 (-3.0%) | 7.5 | 10.7% | 15h | 4.9d ago · 52× | 11% ±14 | 23% ±11 | 39% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 54 | 5% ±4 | 11% ±14 | 21% ±30 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.37% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 7,420.35–7,435.25 (-3.9%) | 9.9 | 7.6% | 10h | 6.1d ago · 75× | 7% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 4% ±3 | 7% ±8 | 14% ±20 | 19% ±34 | > 7d | 0.57% | 0.39% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 7,401.19 (-4.3%) | 11 | 7.3% | 10h | 5.1d ago · 63× | 10% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 66 | 8% ±7 | 10% ±19 | 20% ±45 | 33% | > 7d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 58 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,339.46 (-5.1%) | 13 | 0.5% | 25m | 6.9d ago · 58× | 6% ±10 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 4% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 19% ±29 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,313.92 (-5.5%) | 14 | 0.2% | 7m | 6.9d ago · 67× | 12% ±22 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 10% ±8 | 12% ±22 | 19% ±45 | 21% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 50 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.