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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-05 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 0.4% | 17m | 4.7d ago · 71× | 33% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 12% ±5 | 33% ±17 | 49% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 3.1d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 173 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,738.51 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 78% ±19 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 80 | 64% ±9 | 78% ±19 | 88% ±26 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 0.54% | 0.33% | 115 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,736.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,702.53–7,712.12 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 0.5% | 44m | 13.8d ago · 54× | 64% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 62 | 51% ±8 | 64% ±20 | 74% ±30 | 88% ±37 | 4h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 140 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,558.6 (-2.3%) | 6.3 | 4.6% | 8h | 13.8d ago · 30× | 6% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 23% ±41 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,529.81–7,558.6 (-2.3%) | 6.3 | 4.6% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 12% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±17 | 28% ±44 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.46% | 0.46% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,510.62–7,513.02 (-2.9%) | 7.9 | 9.9% | 16h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 9% ±12 | 23% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 9% ±12 | 23% ±31 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 0.46% | 0.43% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,433.86 (-3.9%) | 11 | 6.4% | 9h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±13 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 6% ±5 | 8% ±13 | 17% ±33 | 30% ±63 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL | 7,400.28–7,412.27 (-4.2%) | 12 | 6.6% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 63× | 5% ±7 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 66 | 3% ±2 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±18 | 18% ±33 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.42% | 215 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,337.91 (-5.2%) | 14 | 0.4% | 20m | 6.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±12 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 5% ±4 | 7% ±12 | 17% ±30 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 111 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,736.98 | 7,433.86 | 7,793.68 | expired | +0.46% |