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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-06 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.9%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 16m | 4.7d ago · 71× | 23% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 6% ±3 | 23% ±14 | 38% ±29 | 64% ±42 | 5.1d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 189 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,740.84 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 4.6% | 6h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 72% ±18 | 33% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 80 | 57% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 82% ±27 | 89% ±31 | 2h | 0.54% | 0.33% | 148 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,727.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,702.53–7,707.32 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 0.5% | 41m | 13.8d ago · 54× | 69% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 62 | 55% ±9 | 69% ±20 | 78% ±31 | 90% ±34 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,582.59 (-1.9%) | 5.5 | 1.6% | 3h | 12.9d ago · 40× | 11% ±20 | 18% ±12 | 45% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 6% ±6 | 11% ±20 | 20% ±45 | 32% | > 7d | 0.38% | 0.29% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,558.6 (-2.2%) | 6.4 | 4.2% | 8h | 13.8d ago · 30× | 6% ±14 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 23% ±41 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 66 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,534.61–7,553.8 (-2.2%) | 6.6 | 5.3% | 10h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 12% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±17 | 28% ±44 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.46% | 0.46% | 76 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-2.8%) | 8.1 | 9.1% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 9% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±12 | 26% ±32 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,485.11 (-3.1%) | 9.2 | 5.9% | 10h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 5% ±10 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 18% ±28 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 7,412.27 (-4.1%) | 12 | 6.1% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 63× | 11% ±20 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 66 | 9% ±7 | 10% ±20 | 20% ±45 | 32% | > 7d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,390.68 (-4.4%) | 13 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±5 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±16 | 13% ±30 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,313.92 (-5.4%) | 16 | 0.1% | 6m | 6.7d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 6% ±5 | 8% ±13 | 14% ±31 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 97 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.