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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-07 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.5%) | 1.6 | 0.4% | 15m | 4.6d ago · 71× | 41% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 20% ±6 | 41% ±17 | 58% ±29 | 73% ±39 | 2.1d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 198 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,754.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,736.11–7,740.91 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 4.9% | 7h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 76% ±16 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 57% ±7 | 76% ±16 | 87% ±22 | 90% ±30 | 2h | 0.46% | 0.46% | 170 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,739.75 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 4.9% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 75× | 69% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 51% ±8 | 69% ±17 | 85% ±23 | 92% ±27 | 4h | 0.46% | 0.31% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,707.32 (-0.6%) | 1.9 | 2.7% | 4h | 12.8d ago · 40× | 47% ±33 | 18% ±12 | 45% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 26% ±12 | 47% ±33 | 60% ±56 | 65% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.29% | 55 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.8%) | 2.5 | 0.5% | 33m | 13.7d ago · 54× | 28% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 63 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±19 | 53% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 2.8d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 131 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,604.01 (-1.9%) | 6.0 | 2.1% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 7% ±8 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 27% ±25 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 208 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,568.19 (-2.4%) | 7.4 | 4.0% | 7h | 13.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±11 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 16% ±42 | 33% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-3.1%) | 9.6 | 7.3% | 11h | 4.6d ago · 48× | 9% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±12 | 23% ±31 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 7,436.26 (-4.1%) | 13 | 5.9% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 9% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 66 | 7% ±7 | 9% ±19 | 19% ±44 | 31% | > 7d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,385.88 (-4.8%) | 15 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±16 | 14% ±30 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,313.92 (-5.7%) | 18 | 0.1% | 6m | 6.5d ago · 58× | 8% ±14 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 5% ±5 | 8% ±13 | 14% ±31 | 23% ±58 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 90 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,754.54 | 7,793.68 | 7,604.01 | expired | +0.01% |