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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-07 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.6%) | 2.0 | 0.3% | 14m | 4.6d ago · 66× | 28% ±16 | 33% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 9% ±4 | 28% ±16 | 44% ±31 | 73% ±44 | 3.9d | 0.48% | 0.19% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,777.78 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 0.7% | 32m | 4.5d ago · 71× | 49% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 27% ±6 | 49% ±17 | 65% ±28 | 76% ±38 | 1.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 204 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,745.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,741.22–7,743.31 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 79% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 83 | 63% ±8 | 79% ±17 | 90% ±22 | 94% ±26 | 2h | 0.50% | 0.32% | 131 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.7%) | 2.2 | 0.4% | 30m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 29% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 18% ±7 | 29% ±19 | 54% ±37 | 73% ±50 | 2.2d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,663.33 (-1.1%) | 3.5 | <0.1% | 20m | 6.4d ago · 67× | 15% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 6% ±3 | 15% ±11 | 36% ±26 | 59% ±43 | 5.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 228 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,577.79 (-2.2%) | 7.1 | 2.4% | 4h | 13.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±10 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 18% ±38 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,529.81–7,558.6 (-2.4%) | 7.9 | 3.6% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 8% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 4% ±5 | 7% ±17 | 19% ±44 | 32% | > 7d | 0.46% | 0.46% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-3.0%) | 9.8 | 6.9% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 48× | 9% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±12 | 23% ±31 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,419.47 (-4.2%) | 14 | 4.1% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 7% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 4% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 18% ±29 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,390.68 (-4.6%) | 15 | 3.7% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±16 | 14% ±31 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 207 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,745.29 | 7,777.78 | 7,663.33 | expired | +0.13% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,745.29 | 7,793.68 | 7,419.47 | expired | +0.13% |