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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-10 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 0.3% | 13m | 4.6d ago · 66× | 55% ±18 | 33% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 35% ±7 | 55% ±18 | 69% ±29 | 84% ±36 | 22h | 0.48% | 0.19% | 182 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,767.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 7,759.84 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.9% | 3h | 4.6d ago · 52× | 67% ±24 | 21% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 54 | 51% ±10 | 67% ±24 | 85% ±32 | 89% ±43 | 4h | 0.40% | 0.26% | 89 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,731.31–7,750.5 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 4.1% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 72% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 85 | 53% ±7 | 72% ±16 | 84% ±22 | 89% ±31 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.46% | 185 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,740.66–7,743.31 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 5.8% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 57% ±19 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 84 | 39% ±7 | 57% ±19 | 79% ±27 | 87% ±33 | 21h | 0.49% | 0.30% | 163 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,698.93 (-0.9%) | 3.1 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 20% ±13 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 8% ±3 | 20% ±13 | 40% ±28 | 64% ±42 | 4.9d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 223 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-1.0%) | 3.4 | 0.4% | 27m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 22% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 8% ±4 | 22% ±17 | 49% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,577.79 (-2.4%) | 8.6 | 1.3% | 2h | 13.5d ago · 30× | 5% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±5 | 5% ±15 | 18% ±43 | 22% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-3.3%) | 12 | 6.5% | 9h | 4.4d ago · 48× | 8% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±12 | 22% ±31 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 117 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,424.26 (-4.4%) | 16 | 3.8% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 6% ±5 | 8% ±13 | 14% ±28 | 24% ±59 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,371.49 (-5.1%) | 18 | 1.8% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 4% ±7 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±18 | 16% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 187 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,767.69 | 7,828.6 | 7,740.66 | expired | -0.07% |