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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.5%) | 2.0 | 0.3% | 12m | 4.6d ago · 66× | 30% ±17 | 33% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 11% ±5 | 30% ±16 | 44% ±31 | 73% ±44 | 3.9d | 0.48% | 0.19% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,763.8 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 3h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 71% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 54% ±7 | 71% ±15 | 83% ±21 | 88% ±28 | 3h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 208 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,754.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,742.89–7,743.31 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 5.3% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 71% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 84 | 54% ±8 | 72% ±17 | 86% ±23 | 91% ±28 | 3h | 0.49% | 0.30% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,708.03 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 2.3% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 28% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 12% ±5 | 28% ±16 | 47% ±31 | 68% ±46 | 3.2d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 185 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.8%) | 3.1 | 0.4% | 23m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 24% ±18 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 11% ±5 | 24% ±18 | 51% ±35 | 66% ±54 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,577.79 (-2.3%) | 8.9 | 1.2% | 2h | 13.5d ago · 30× | 5% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±5 | 5% ±15 | 16% ±42 | 20% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,544.2–7,558.6 (-2.5%) | 9.8 | 2.7% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 9% ±25 | 27% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 85 | 6% ±8 | 9% ±25 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 31 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-3.1%) | 12 | 5.7% | 8h | 4.4d ago · 48× | 8% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±12 | 23% ±34 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,433.86 (-4.1%) | 16 | 4.3% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 6% ±5 | 8% ±13 | 14% ±28 | 23% ±58 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,366.69 (-5.0%) | 19 | 1.3% | 1h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±18 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 173 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 7,754.18 | 7,742.89 | 7,773.84 | target | +0.28% |