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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 0.3% | 11m | 4.7d ago · 66× | 36% ±17 | 33% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 17% ±5 | 35% ±17 | 50% ±31 | 75% ±43 | 3.0d | 0.48% | 0.19% | 188 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,763.06 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.4% | 3h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 80% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 63% ±7 | 80% ±15 | 87% ±22 | 90% ±29 | 1h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 162 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,762.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,731.31–7,760.1 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 80% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 85 | 63% ±8 | 81% ±16 | 90% ±21 | 93% ±26 | 1h | 0.45% | 0.46% | 147 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,748.1–7,748.38 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 5.0% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 67% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 84 | 51% ±7 | 68% ±17 | 84% ±23 | 89% ±30 | 4h | 0.49% | 0.30% | 181 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,717.12 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 28% ±15 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 12% ±4 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 3.9d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 198 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.9%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 20m | 13.7d ago · 54× | 22% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±16 | 48% ±35 | 60% ±55 | 3.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,582.59 (-2.3%) | 9.9 | 0.7% | 1h | 13.7d ago · 30× | 6% ±16 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±5 | 6% ±15 | 15% ±41 | 20% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-3.2%) | 14 | 5.1% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 48× | 8% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 23% ±34 | 36% ±67 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,438.66 (-4.2%) | 18 | 4.5% | 6h | 6.5d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 5% ±5 | 7% ±13 | 14% ±30 | 22% ±57 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,357.1 (-5.2%) | 22 | 0.6% | 38m | 5.8d ago · 41× | 3% ±7 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±21 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 136 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.