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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.8%) | 3.5 | 0.3% | 11m | 4.6d ago · 66× | 13% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 28% ±25 | 55% ±44 | 6.0d | 0.48% | 0.19% | 220 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,762.16 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.8% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 36% ±16 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 16% ±5 | 36% ±16 | 53% ±29 | 70% ±40 | 2.9d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,748.1–7,749.26 (+0.2%) | 0.9 | 5.2% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 65% ±17 | 33% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 82 | 46% ±7 | 65% ±17 | 75% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 11h | 0.51% | 0.30% | 181 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,732.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,723.94 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 2.0% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 80% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 57% ±8 | 80% ±16 | 86% ±24 | 91% ±32 | 1h | 0.58% | 0.51% | 146 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 0.3% | 19m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 28% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±19 | 52% ±37 | 71% ±51 | 2.8d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,601.78 (-1.7%) | 7.4 | 1.5% | 2h | 13.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±10 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 15% ±35 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,544.2–7,558.6 (-2.2%) | 9.9 | 2.3% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 9% ±25 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 6% ±8 | 9% ±25 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-2.8%) | 12 | 4.9% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 48× | 8% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±12 | 22% ±33 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 114 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,443.46 (-3.7%) | 16 | 3.8% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 6% ±5 | 8% ±13 | 14% ±27 | 23% ±58 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,357.1 (-4.8%) | 21 | 0.6% | 37m | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.