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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.6%) | 2.5 | 0.3% | 11m | 4.7d ago · 66× | 24% ±14 | 33% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 6% ±3 | 23% ±14 | 40% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.48% | 0.19% | 204 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,758.36 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.3% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 72% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 93 | 55% ±7 | 72% ±15 | 83% ±21 | 88% ±28 | 2h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 209 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,750.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,742.73–7,748.1 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.1% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 77% ±16 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 85 | 61% ±8 | 77% ±16 | 88% ±21 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.28% | 158 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,721.01 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 49% ±19 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 27% ±7 | 50% ±19 | 61% ±32 | 76% ±42 | 1.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 157 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.7%) | 3.3 | 0.3% | 19m | 13.6d ago · 54× | 23% ±16 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 9% ±5 | 23% ±16 | 50% ±35 | 65% ±47 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,606.57 (-1.9%) | 8.2 | 1.4% | 2h | 13.6d ago · 30× | 5% ±13 | 14% ±11 | 49% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±4 | 5% ±12 | 17% ±37 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.44% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,544.2–7,553.8 (-2.5%) | 11 | 3.1% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 10% ±26 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 6% ±9 | 9% ±26 | 19% ±55 | 19% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,513.02 (-3.1%) | 13 | 4.8% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 48× | 9% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 23% ±34 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 105 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,501.03 (-3.2%) | 14 | 3.0% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 7% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 5% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 16% ±27 | 24% ±49 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,357.1 (-5.1%) | 22 | 0.5% | 37m | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±7 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±21 | 15% ±41 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 138 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,750.47 | 7,742.73 | 7,714.29 | target | +0.83% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,750.47 | 7,793.68 | 7,501.03 | target | +0.83% |