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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,793.68 (+0.5%) | 2.6 | 0.2% | 10m | 4.5d ago · 66× | 18% ±13 | 31% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 76 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±13 | 39% ±28 | 63% ±42 | 4.5d | 0.47% | 0.20% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,757.88 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.3% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 73% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 94 | 55% ±7 | 73% ±15 | 84% ±22 | 88% ±28 | 2h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 206 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,751.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,748.1–7,749.19 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.6% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 75× | 79% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 85 | 64% ±8 | 80% ±17 | 88% ±24 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 0.48% | 0.35% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,721.59 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 2.6% | 4h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 45% ±19 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 23% ±7 | 45% ±19 | 57% ±32 | 74% ±43 | 2.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 156 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,611.37–7,692.93 (-0.8%) | 3.6 | 0.3% | 17m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 21% ±16 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±16 | 48% ±35 | 62% ±48 | 3.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,587.38 (-2.1%) | 10 | 0.6% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 5% ±8 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 18% ±25 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 159 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,549–7,553.8 (-2.5%) | 12 | 2.6% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 13% ±33 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 8% ±11 | 12% ±32 | 26% | 26% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,443.46 (-4.0%) | 19 | 3.5% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±18 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 183 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,751.08 | 7,757.88 | 7,721.59 | target | +0.55% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,751.08 | 7,793.68 | 7,587.38 | target | +0.55% |
| 30d | POC | long | 7,751.08 | 7,793.68 | 7,443.46 | target | +0.55% |