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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-13 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,815.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,795.48–7,797.76 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | <0.1% | 10m | 12.6d ago · 40× | 64% ±26 | 16% ±12 | 47% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 46% ±11 | 64% ±26 | 73% ±43 | 79% ±57 | 20h | 0.37% | 0.36% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,763.89 (-0.7%) | 3.0 | 1.3% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 52× | 24% ±25 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 13% ±8 | 24% ±25 | 44% ±49 | 57% ±69 | 5.1d | 0.39% | 0.26% | 66 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,715.22–7,760.36 (-0.7%) | 3.2 | 2.6% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 24% ±18 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±36 | 58% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 7,747.82–7,751.08 (-0.8%) | 3.8 | 7.0% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 75× | 16% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 85 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 36% ±39 | 54% ±56 | 6.0d | 0.48% | 0.35% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,727.5 (-1.1%) | 5.2 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 7% ±8 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 79 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 27% ±24 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 0.57% | 0.50% | 234 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 7,614.89–7,690.14 (-1.6%) | 7.4 | 0.2% | 14m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 15% ±16 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±16 | 32% ±37 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,664.39 (-1.9%) | 8.9 | <0.1% | 14m | 6.3d ago · 58× | 8% ±10 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 4% ±3 | 8% ±10 | 21% ±27 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,444.34 (-4.7%) | 22 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±20 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 148 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,815.09 | 7,851.48 | 7,749.21 | expired | -0.25% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,815.09 | 7,948.46 | 7,751.08 | expired | -0.25% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,815.09 | 8,166.22 | 7,747.82 | expired | -0.25% |