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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-13 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+0.3%) | 1.3 | <0.1% | 11m | 6.8d ago · 49× | 47% ±20 | 28% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 28% ±7 | 47% ±20 | 67% ±33 | 81% ±45 | 1.1d | 0.47% | 0.23% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,794.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,791.69 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.9% | 1h | 12.8d ago · 40× | 75% ±28 | 18% ±12 | 45% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 63% ±13 | 75% ±28 | 86% ±40 | 91% | 1h | 0.38% | 0.29% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,763.31 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 1.5% | 3h | 4.7d ago · 52× | 33% ±25 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 16% ±8 | 33% ±25 | 59% ±48 | 71% ±63 | 2.1d | 0.39% | 0.26% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,716.14–7,761.39 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 2.1% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 43% ±22 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 58% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 2.0d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,747.92–7,751.13 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 6.9% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 24% ±19 | 27% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 86 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±19 | 51% ±40 | 67% ±53 | 3.6d | 0.49% | 0.34% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,726.17 (-0.9%) | 4.0 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 11% ±10 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 79 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±10 | 32% ±25 | 53% ±40 | 6.2d | 0.57% | 0.50% | 242 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,699.98 (-1.2%) | 5.5 | 1.2% | 1h | 6.5d ago · 58× | 11% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±11 | 32% ±29 | 43% ±49 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 188 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,691.01 (-1.3%) | 6.1 | 0.2% | 14m | 13.7d ago · 54× | 15% ±15 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±15 | 33% ±35 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,444.64 (-4.5%) | 21 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 167 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,794.03 | 7,885.74 | 7,747.92 | expired | -0.19% |