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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+0.3%) | 1.3 | <0.1% | 11m | 6.5d ago · 49× | 49% ±20 | 28% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 30% ±8 | 49% ±20 | 68% ±32 | 81% ±45 | 1.1d | 0.47% | 0.23% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,795.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,789.06 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.1% | 2h | 12.5d ago · 40× | 74% ±26 | 18% ±12 | 45% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 60% ±12 | 75% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 93% ±36 | 2h | 0.38% | 0.29% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,763.99 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 1.3% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 52× | 29% ±25 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 14% ±8 | 28% ±24 | 57% ±49 | 70% ±63 | 2.1d | 0.39% | 0.26% | 76 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,716.14–7,761.39 (-0.4%) | 2.0 | 2.0% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 42% ±22 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 18% ±7 | 42% ±22 | 57% ±40 | 69% ±52 | 2.0d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,747.59–7,750.57 (-0.6%) | 2.7 | 6.9% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 75× | 22% ±19 | 27% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 86 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±19 | 50% ±40 | 65% ±54 | 4.2d | 0.50% | 0.34% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,726.2 (-0.9%) | 4.1 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 11% ±10 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 79 | 4% ±2 | 11% ±10 | 31% ±24 | 52% ±40 | 6.9d | 0.57% | 0.50% | 243 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,698.22 (-1.2%) | 5.8 | 0.9% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 11% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 32% ±28 | 44% ±44 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 190 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,610.56–7,691.01 (-1.3%) | 6.2 | 0.2% | 14m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 14% ±15 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±15 | 32% ±35 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,444.64 (-4.5%) | 21 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 2% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 161 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.