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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+1.3%) | 7.0 | <0.1% | 9m | 6.6d ago · 49× | 3% ±7 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±17 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 174 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,797.49 (+1.0%) | 5.6 | 1.3% | 2h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 3% ±7 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 14% ±24 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 147 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,776.48–7,786.53 (+0.7%) | 4.1 | 1.5% | 3h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 23% ±22 | 30% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 71 | 2% ±3 | 23% ±22 | 39% ±43 | 65% ±66 | 4.0d | 0.55% | 0.39% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,762.91 (+0.6%) | 3.1 | 1.5% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 17% ±12 | 33% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 79 | 4% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 34% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 4.9d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 224 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,752.02–7,753.85 (+0.4%) | 2.3 | 6.8% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 22% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 83 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±17 | 39% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 4.4d | 0.49% | 0.30% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,737.3 (+0.2%) | 1.3 | 4.3% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 49× | 65% ±25 | 33% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 46 | 41% ±11 | 66% ±25 | 80% ±35 | 99% ±15 | 21h | 0.52% | 0.42% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,719.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,701.06–7,706.09 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 2.3% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 69% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 87 | 50% ±7 | 69% ±16 | 82% ±22 | 88% ±29 | 18h | 0.45% | 0.46% | 203 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,701.44 (-0.2%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 46% ±20 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 26% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 58% ±34 | 76% ±48 | 2.0d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 140 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,680.95 (-0.5%) | 2.8 | 0.2% | 12m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 25% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 12% ±5 | 25% ±17 | 50% ±35 | 65% ±47 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-3.6%) | 20 | 3.5% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±18 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 7,719.91 | 7,752.02 | 7,690.37 | stop | -0.50% |