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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-19 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+1.3%) | 6.9 | <0.1% | 9m | 6.6d ago · 49× | 3% ±7 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±17 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,783.4 (+0.9%) | 4.6 | 3.1% | 6h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 6% ±8 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 14% ±22 | 50% ±49 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 180 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,781.51–7,786.53 (+0.9%) | 4.5 | 2.8% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 15% ±22 | 30% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 71 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±22 | 32% ±53 | 65% | 4.8d | 0.55% | 0.39% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,762.91 (+0.6%) | 3.2 | 1.6% | 3h | 4.6d ago · 66× | 15% ±11 | 33% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 79 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 31% ±26 | 59% ±43 | 5.0d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 223 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,752.02–7,753.85 (+0.5%) | 2.5 | 7.2% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 20% ±16 | 30% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 83 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 37% ±33 | 66% ±54 | 4.4d | 0.49% | 0.30% | 142 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,715.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,701.06–7,706.09 (-0.1%) | 0.6 | 2.5% | 5h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 73% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 87 | 55% ±7 | 73% ±16 | 86% ±22 | 90% ±30 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.46% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,701.44 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 58% ±19 | 25% ±11 | 36% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 61 | 39% ±8 | 58% ±19 | 67% ±31 | 82% ±38 | 21h | 0.63% | 0.45% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,688.63 (-0.3%) | 1.8 | 0.5% | 29m | 6.4d ago · 67× | 45% ±19 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 80 | 22% ±7 | 45% ±19 | 57% ±32 | 74% ±43 | 2.0d | 0.56% | 0.48% | 158 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,680.95 (-0.4%) | 2.3 | 0.2% | 13m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 28% ±18 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±18 | 51% ±35 | 69% ±52 | 2.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-3.6%) | 19 | 3.7% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±17 | 14% ±30 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 195 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.